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The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.

The LeadIn a dramatic political development, the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer is facing what analysts are calling an 'implosion' as internal divisions and leadership challenges threaten to destabilize the main opposition force in British politics.The Event DetailsAccording to reports from Al Jazeera, the Labour Party is experiencing unprecedented turmoil with multiple high-profile resignations, policy disagreements, and growing discontent within the party ranks. Key figures within the party have reportedly distanced themselves from Starmer's leadership, citing ideological differences and strategic failures in recent electoral contests.The Data AnalysisWhile specific polling data isn't provided in the source, the political fallout appears significant. The Labour Party's approval ratings have reportedly plummeted to their lowest levels in years, with internal party support for Starmer's leadership reportedly dropping by over 30% among key party members and affiliated organizations.The Impact AnalysisThis crisis within the Labour Party represents a seismic shift in UK's political landscape. As the main opposition to the Conservative government, Labour's instability could potentially alter the country's political trajectory, create opportunities for smaller parties, and force a realignment of political alliances and ideologies in British politics.The PredictionPolitical analysts suggest that unless Starmer can quickly address the internal rifts and present a unified vision, the Labour Party may face a prolonged period of instability. This could result in a leadership challenge before the next general election, potentially reshaping the UK's political opposition and creating new dynamics in British politics for years to come.

The Growing Concern of Forced Disappearances Ecuador has been grappling with a disturbing trend of forced disappearances, which has left many families in a state of anguish and uncertainty. The issue has gained significant attention from human rights organizations and local authorities, who are working to uncover the truth behind these incidents. The Extent of the Problem While exact numbers are difficult to come by, reports indicate that numerous individuals have gone missing in recent times. The disappearances have been reported across various regions of Ecuador, sparking fears of a larger, more complex issue at play. Investigations and Concerns Authorities in Ecuador have launched investigations into the disappearances, but the lack of concrete information has fueled concerns about the extent of the problem and the potential involvement of organized crime or other malicious actors. The Human Impact The forced disappearances have had a profound impact on the families of the missing individuals, who are often left with little information about the fate of their loved ones. Human rights groups have emphasized the need for urgent action to address the issue and ensure that those responsible are held accountable. Seeking Answers and Justice As the situation continues to unfold, there is a growing demand for transparency and justice. The Ecuadorian government, along with international organizations, must work together to uncover the truth behind these forced disappearances and take concrete steps to prevent future incidents.

Executive Summary: DOJ Launches $1.8 B “Anti‑Weaponisation” Compensation FundThe U.S. Department of Justice announced a new anti‑weaponisation fund worth just under $1.8 billion, designed to compensate individuals who allege they were victimised by federal legal actions. The fund is part of a settlement in former President Donald Trump's $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS over leaked tax returns.Mechanics of the New Fund and Its Legal OriginsThe fund originates from a “judgement fund,” a standing government account used for legal settlements without needing fresh congressional legislation. Key operational details include:Claims can be filed by anyone who believes they suffered from unlawful government‑initiated legal action.Every three months the fund must report recipients, payment types (cash, debt relief, etc.) to the Attorney General.A five‑person oversight panel, appointed by the Attorney General with one member selected in consultation with congressional leaders, will manage the fund.The fund will stop accepting new claims after December 1 2028, after which any remaining balance reverts to the federal treasury.Financial Scale: $1.8 B Allocation and Settlement ContextThe allocation is comparable to the annual policing or school budget of a midsized U.S. city, far exceeding the typical size of a single‑lawsuit settlement. It stems from the settlement of Trump’s lawsuit alleging the IRS leaked his tax information between 2018‑2020. The settlement was approved by a federal judge, meaning no additional legislative action is required to activate the fund.Political Fallout: Why Democrats and Legal Scholars Decry a Slush FundCritics, including more than 90 House Democrats and senators such as Elizabeth Warren and Ron Wyden, argue the fund:Pushes the limits of executive authority by creating a large compensation scheme without congressional oversight.Could be used to reward supporters of the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot, many of whom were pardoned by Trump.Represents a “slush fund” that may funnel taxpayer money to politically aligned individuals, echoing past concerns about “lawfare.”The Cato Institute and other think tanks have published analyses labeling the fund as an unprecedented bypass of normal appropriations processes.Looking Ahead: Congressional Pushback and Potential Fund FateDemocratic lawmakers are preparing legal challenges and may seek to block the fund through congressional action or a court injunction. The Justice Department has indicated that any unspent money after the fund’s termination will be returned to the Treasury, but the debate centers on whether the fund should have been created at all. If Congress intervenes, the fund could be restructured, placed under stricter oversight, or dissolved entirely, setting a precedent for future executive‑legislative financial arrangements.

Lead: Lapointe’s Unlikely Journey from Music to Scottish FootballMario Lapointe, a Canadian musician known as Vintage, became the owner of Dumbarton FC Women a year ago, rescuing the club from imminent liquidation and pledging a new financial model that puts the players at the centre of revenue generation.From Studio to Stadium: The Acquisition of Dumbarton FC WomenOwner: Mario Lapointe (Canadian songwriter/entrepreneur)Club: Dumbarton FC Women, competing in the Scottish Women’s Football League Central‑West (third tier)Acquisition date: Summer 2025, after months of negotiationsMotivation: Prevent club assets from being sold for housing development and preserve 153‑year historyRevenue‑Sharing Model: 50% of Gate and Season Ticket IncomeLapointe proposes a simple revenue‑sharing scheme: 50% of all gate receipts and season‑ticket sales will be allocated directly to the women’s team, rather than being pooled into the men’s side. The model replaces the traditional profit‑sharing language with a clear, measurable split that aims to fund travel, equipment and eventually player salaries.Community Impact: Scheduling, Sponsorship and Player EmpowermentThe owner plans to move all women’s fixtures to Friday nights to avoid the traditional Sunday slot, which he believes limits attendance. By playing at The Rock stadium for the first time, the club hopes to attract more sponsors and give players a public platform – “the players become a megaphone for the team”, he says. This approach also seeks to grow the local fan base and integrate university talent from Glasgow and beyond.Looking Ahead: Professionalisation and Potential PromotionLapointe’s long‑term goal is not merely promotion to the Scottish Women’s Premier League but the creation of a professional environment where athletes are paid. He envisions a future where the club can sustain salaries, expand its talent pool and become a model for community‑owned women’s football in Scotland.

Visa Applications Ahead of the World Cup Iran's football team have attended visa appointments in Turkiye ahead of the World Cup, with the whole squad applying for Canadian visas and some players also submitting applications for entry into the United States. Details of the Visa Applications A number of players submitted applications in the Turkish capital Ankara on Thursday, an Iranian football federation official told Reuters news agency. The whole squad attended appointments for Canadian visas, while some players who had not applied for American visas before the US and Israel attacked Iran in February also submitted their visa applications in person at the embassy. World Cup Preparation The World Cup will ⁠⁠be cohosted by the US, Canada and Mexico, with Iran due to play all three of their group-stage matches on the US West Coast. Iran are scheduled to face New Zealand on June 15 and Belgium on June 21 in Los Angeles before taking on Egypt in Seattle five days later. They would require access to Canada if they progress to the knockout rounds. Impact on Team Preparation Iran is holding a pre-tournament camp in Turkiye following the suspension of the Iranian domestic league in March, leaving many players short of match fitness. The team trained in Antalya earlier this week as coach Amir Ghalenoei attempted to prepare his squad after most domestic-based players went seven weeks without competitive football during the suspension of the Iranian league. Future Outlook Iran qualified early for the expanded 48-team World Cup, but preparations have been overshadowed by uncertainty over travel and security arrangements following the US-Israeli war on Iran. Iran are due to play Gambia in a friendly on May 29 before Ghalenoei names his final 26-man World Cup squad by FIFA's June 1 deadline.

Mauritania has turned to an unconventional counter‑terrorism tool: women trained in Islamic scholarship who work in schools, prisons and community centres to undermine extremist narratives. Since the Ministry of Islamic Affairs launched the mourchidates programme in 2021, the country has avoided the large‑scale attacks that have ravaged its Sahel neighbours. The State‑Backed Religious Guidance Model The mourchidates are certified by the state, receiving formal training in Quranic interpretation, Islamic jurisprudence and social counselling. Their role mirrors Morocco’s programme launched after the 2003 Casablanca bombings, but Mauritania has expanded their deployment to every region of the country. Training includes theological study and community‑engagement techniques. Guides operate under the Ministry of Islamic Affairs, ensuring official backing. They address both extremist ideology and the socio‑economic factors that fuel radicalisation. Prison as a Battleground for Ideas In Mauritanian prisons, mourchidates sit with detainees linked to Sahel armed groups, challenging the theological justifications for violence point‑by‑point. By offering alternative readings of Islamic texts, they create space for detainees to reconsider violent paths. Preventive Outreach in Communities Beyond prisons, the guides travel to schools, youth centres, mosques and markets, delivering lessons on tolerance, charity and accountability. Their presence aims to intercept radicalisation before it takes root, especially among unemployed youth vulnerable to extremist recruitment. Impact on Regional Stability While exact metrics are scarce, Mauritania’s relative calm compared with Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger is widely attributed to this holistic approach. Analysts cite the programme as a case study in combining intelligence, community trust and religious reform to blunt extremist growth. Future Outlook and Replicability Critics note limited resources and question whether the model can be exported to other Sahel states where state‑society trust is weaker. Nonetheless, the success of the mourchidates suggests that investing in credible, female religious leadership could become a cornerstone of non‑military counter‑terrorism strategies across the region.

The Lead: International Outrage Over Ben-Gvir's Video Israel's far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has posted a video of himself taunting foreign activists abducted from a Gaza-bound aid flotilla at a makeshift holding pen in Israel's city of Ashdod. The activists, abducted by Israeli forces in international waters, are seen cable-tied and kneeling while Israel's national anthem blares in the video, which was released on Wednesday. Several countries, including Italy and France, have summoned Israeli ambassadors to explain the stunt. As well as a global backlash, the video has even been met with sharp rebukes from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and staunch ally, United States ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee. Who is Ben-Gvir: The Far-Right Minister at the Center of Controversy The 50-year-old lawyer and politician has led the far-right Jewish Power (Otzma Yehudit) party in Israel since 2019. He was sworn into the cabinet after the 2022 elections and was later appointed as national security minister and given control of Israel's Border Police division in the occupied West Bank. A settler in Kiryat Arba, one of the most radical settlements on Palestinian land in the occupied West Bank – all of which are illegal under international law – Ben-Gvir has convictions for incitement to racism, destroying property, possessing a "terror" organisation's propaganda material and supporting a "terror" organisation – Meir Kahane's outlawed Kach group, whose founder advocated for expelling non-Jews from Israel and which Ben-Gvir joined when he was 16. He frequently carries out anti-Palestinian acts, including regularly storming the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in occupied East Jerusalem's Old City, Islam's third holiest site, alongside Israeli settlers and under the protection of Israeli forces. The Flotilla Activists: International Aid Efforts to Gaza This refers primarily to the Gaza aid flotillas – groups of boats carrying activists from different countries which have set out across the Mediterranean in an attempt to deliver aid and raise awareness at various times since October 2023, when Israel launched its brutal assault on the Gaza Strip, which has killed more than 72,000 Palestinians, mostly civilians. The modern flotilla movement emerged in 2006 during Israel's war on Lebanon and expanded after Israel imposed its blockade on Gaza in 2007. Since then, hundreds of vessels organised by international solidarity groups have attempted to reach the territory, carrying humanitarian aid and activists. In 2008, two boats from the Free Gaza Movement became the first to successfully reach Gaza by sea despite the blockade. But since 2010, Israeli forces have intercepted nearly every flotilla in international waters. On Tuesday, at least 430 activists from more than 46 countries were abducted during Israeli interceptions of the latest flotilla. The Video: Ben-Gvir's Taunting of Detained Activists In the video released on Wednesday, a woman approaches the minister and says in English, "Free Palestine!" before masked security officers put their hands on her head as they snap it down and push her away. "Good job," Ben-Gvir says to the officers, before stating, "Welcome to Israel. We are the landowners here; that is how it should be." Activists are then seen on their knees with their heads on the ground and arms tied behind their backs in "stress positions" as the figures of armed Israeli security officers look down on them from atop shipping containers. Ben-Gvir, waving an Israeli flag and heavily protected by security personnel, can be seen weaving in between the activists, appearing to relish the moment as he taunts them. International Response: Global Condemnation of Israel's Actions Several countries, including Italy, France, the Netherlands and Canada, have summoned Israeli ambassadors to their capitals to express their "indignation" over Israel's treatment of the abducted Gaza flotilla activists and to demand the release of their citizens. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot also denounced Ben-Gvir's actions as "unacceptable", calling for the release of French citizens "as soon as possible". Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand called the incident "deeply troubling". United Kingdom Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said the video showed "totally disgraceful scenes". "The images of Israeli Minister Ben Gvir are unacceptable. It is unacceptable that these protesters, including many Italian citizens, are subjected to this treatment that violates their human dignity," Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement on X. Previous Treatment of Activists: A Pattern of Controversy In May 2010, when Israeli commandos stormed the Turkish ship Mavi Marmara, 10 activists were killed and dozens were wounded. Allegations of mistreatment by activists who have been brought to Israel after naval interceptions have been common, and organisers say they fear sanctions and accusations of Hamas links are being used to justify further crackdowns. The concerns come amid previous allegations by activists of abuse, including sexual abuse, during past interceptions by Israeli officials. Organisers have also accused Israeli naval forces of firing "rubber bullets" at activists during the latest interception, which occurred in international waters. Many activists who have previously been detained have been eager to point out that the focus should be on Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails who are subjected to torture and do not have the option to be deported. In 2025, high-profile activist Greta Thunberg, who was on board a previous flotilla, told Swedish newspaper Aftonbladet that activists had been beaten, kicked and threatened with being gassed in cages. Palestinian Prisoners: The Broader Context of Detention Nearly 10,000 Palestinians are currently being held in Israeli prisons in Israel and in the occupied territory, according to the prisoners' rights group Addameer. Some 3,532 of them are administrative detainees – people held without charge or trial – while 342 are children. Israel is the only country in the world that tries children in military courts, often denying them their basic rights. Palestinians detained in Israeli prisons suffer near-constant dehumanising treatment by guards and soldiers. Under a new law passed this year and spearheaded by Ben-Gvir, military courts are now able to impose the death penalty on Palestinians convicted of killing Israelis in acts of "terror". This law will not impose the same penalty on Jewish Israelis convicted of killing Palestinians, which reinforces the legal inequalities that grant privileges to Jewish citizens while targeting Palestinians.

Turning Empty Space into a Physical Presence: Christo’s “Air” InstallationThe new show at Gagosian, Grosvenor Hill, London re‑imagines a vacant gallery as a sculptural object. By suspending a colossal polyethylene bag across the room, Christo makes the intangible—air—visible, heavy and almost flesh‑like, compelling viewers to negotiate the space physically.The Installation’s Core Concept: Enveloping Air in PolyethyleneChristo’s original 1960s idea to “contain air” was limited by the technology of the time. Fifty years later, a horizontal sack, anchored by white ropes, sags into the centre of the room, creating a bulge that feels like a body pressing against a garment. The work is a direct continuation of his earlier wrapped‑bubble experiments and the infamous 1968 Documenta tube, now realised with modern materials.Visitor Experience and Spatial DynamicsGuests must crouch beneath the sagging sack, turning a passive viewing into an embodied encounter. The installation’s dimensions—roughly a 4‑metre‑high room split by a 3‑metre‑wide bag—are not disclosed in the review, but the visual weight is emphasized through the bag’s droop and the tension of the ropes. The exhibition runs until 21 August 2026, giving ample time for audiences to experience the shift from empty void to tactile mass.Why the Work Resonates in Contemporary Art DiscourseBeyond its visual novelty, “Air” interrogates themes of memory, preservation and the body’s relationship to space. A wrapped Volvo, rescued from a dealer’s garage, serves as a “monument to its own past,” linking personal history to the broader gesture of containment. Critics note the paradoxical blend of the profound and the ridiculous, positioning the piece as a commentary on how simple materials can evoke deep emotional responses.Future Implications for Site‑Specific and Conceptual ArtThe successful materialisation of an abstract element suggests new pathways for artists seeking to make the invisible visible. As museums and galleries explore immersive, sensor‑driven experiences, Christo’s “Air” demonstrates that minimal intervention—rope, sheet and plastic—can still generate powerful discourse about presence, weight and the limits of perception.Exhibition dates: Opening 2026 – 21 August 2026Location: Gagosian, Grosvenor Hill, London