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Lead: Sub‑Saharan Nations Eye a Breakthrough at the 2026 World CupAs the tournament kicks off on June 11, 2026, five sub‑Saharan teams—Senegal, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Cape Verde, South Africa and DR Congo—are under the spotlight. Their recent qualifications, combined with strong domestic leagues and diaspora talent, have sparked debate over whether they can finally outshine the North African heavyweights that have traditionally dominated the continent’s World Cup narrative. Team‑by‑Team Breakdown of Sub‑Saharan QualifiersSenegal (4 appearances: 2002, 2018, 2022, 2026) – Best finish: Quarter‑finals; Record: P12 W5 D3 L4; FIFA ranking 14; Prediction: Eliminated at quarter‑final stage.Ghana (5 appearances: 2006‑2026) – Best finish: Quarter‑finals; Record: P15 W5 D3 L7; FIFA ranking 74; Prediction: Eliminated at quarter‑final stage.Ivory Coast (4 appearances: 2006‑2026) – Best finish: Group stage; Record: P9 W3 D1 L5; FIFA ranking 34; Prediction: Eliminated at quarter‑final stage.Cape Verde (debut, 2026) – FIFA ranking 69; Prediction: Eliminated at group stage.South Africa (4 appearances: 1998‑2026) – Best finish: Group stage; Record: P9 W2 D4 L3; FIFA ranking 60; Prediction: Eliminated at round of 32.DR Congo (2 appearances: 1974, 2026) – Best finish: Group stage; Record: P3 W0 D0 L3; FIFA ranking 46; Prediction: Eliminated at quarter‑final stage. Statistical Snapshot: Rankings, Records and Squad StrengthThe data highlights a clear split:Only Senegal sits inside the top‑15 globally, reflecting a strong recent performance and a squad featuring European‑based stars such as Sadio Mane, Edouard Mendy and Kalidou Koulibaly.Ghana and Ivory Coast rely heavily on young talent from top European clubs (e.g., Antoine Semenyo, Amad Diallo).South Africa benefits from eight players from the African Champions League‑winning Mamelodi Sundowns and eight from domestic champions Orlando Pirates.DR Congo fields a largely Europe‑born roster, including Premier‑League‑trained Aaron Wan‑Bissaka. Regional Power Shift: Why Sub‑Saharan Teams Could Challenge North AfricaNorth Africa remains the continent’s historical stronghold—Egypt with seven AFCON titles and regular World Cup qualifications for Morocco, Tunisia and Algeria. However, the sub‑Saharan cohort brings:Increased exposure to top‑tier European leagues, raising tactical sophistication.Recent domestic success (e.g., Sundowns’ Champions League win) feeding confidence into the national set‑up.Strategic group draws that avoid early clashes with traditional North African powers. Outlook: What a Strong Sub‑Saharan Showing Means for African FootballIf any of the sub‑Saharan sides advance beyond the stages predicted, it could reshape the perception of African football hierarchy, encouraging greater investment in youth development across the south of the Sahara and prompting CAF to reconsider tournament seeding policies. Conversely, early exits would reinforce the narrative that North African nations remain the continent’s benchmark for World Cup success.

Christmas Day's Dominant Performance Christmas Day won the Derby at Epsom for trainer Aidan O'Brien, revelling in the rain-soaked soft ground to give his handler a 12th win in Britain's premier Classic. The Race Details The 7-1 shot was up with the pace from the start and the result never looked in danger soon after entering the straight, staying on strongly to the line and repelling a late challenge from Maltese Cross. Ronan Whelan's Reaction Winning rider Ronan Whelan said: "I went by the line and I couldn't believe I won so easy. Aidan told me to keep it simple. The horse done it so easy – he loves the ground and it felt so effortless. Thank God my mum and dad and my girlfriend are here. I wish I was as cool a customer as the horse was. He's a gent and a credit to all who work with him." The Impact of the Win Christmas Day, the mount of Ronan Whelan, was the supposed O'Brien third string, albeit it at a well-supported at 7-1, but he was always perfectly positioned in behind his pacesetting stablemate Action and edged to the front rounding the home turn. The Future Outlook While several horses, including his two better-fancied stablemates, struggled to make up ground in the testing conditions, the son of 2012 Derby hero Camelot galloped on strongly to win by two and three-quarter lengths, with Maltese Cross best of the home team in second and James J Braddock third.

The Lead The 2026 World Cup has arrived, but some of the world's top players will be watching from the sidelines. A selection of XI standout players from countries that failed to qualify for the tournament has been compiled. Top Players Missing Out on the World Cup Gianluigi Donnarumma (goalkeeper, Italy) The 27-year-old Italy captain is widely considered one of the best keepers in the world. After a high-profile move to Manchester City, he has quickly adapted to the Premier League demands for ball-playing, a skill he honed at Paris Saint-Germain. Jon Aramburu (right-back, Venezuela) The 23-year-old rose to prominence after an impressive Copa América 2024 showing, where he played as a left-back and right-back; a dream for any manager. Edmond Tapsoba (central defence, Burkina Faso) The Bayer Leverkusen centre-back has established himself as one of Europe’s best ball-playing defenders, key to his club’s domestic success under Xabi Alonso in 2023-24. Riccardo Calafiori (central defence, Italy) After a standout year at Bologna, Calafiori moved to Arsenal in 2024, introducing himself shortly after with a stunning strike against Manchester City. Milos Kerkez (left-back, Hungary) Known for his marauding runs and crossing ability, the 22-year-old Liverpool defender represents the archetype of a modern attacking full-back. Carlos Baleba (central defensive midfield, Cameroon) Emerging as a powerhouse in the heart of Brighton’s midfield, Baleba has drawn comparisons to elite defensive specialists. Marcelino Núñez (midfield, Chile) The Chilean playmaker has been the creative heartbeat for Ipswich and his national team, known for his vision and set-piece expertise. Dominik Szoboszlai (midfield, Hungary) Szoboszlai was a rare bright spot in Liverpool’s meek Premier League title defence, with the midfielder renowned for his set-piece deliveries. Ademola Lookman (winger, Nigeria) After his historic hat-trick in the Europa League final for Atalanta, Lookman became one of the most speculated transfer rumours in 2024. The Impact of Missing Key Players The absence of these top players will undoubtedly be felt, as they bring unique skills and talents to their respective teams. Their presence could have potentially changed the dynamics of the tournament. The Future Outlook As the 2026 World Cup progresses, fans will be keeping an eye on these talented players, eagerly anticipating their next moves and potential future inclusions in major tournaments.

Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Begins with Leclerc as Home Favorite Gambling is a mug's game but betting odds can be informative. Looking at one bookies on Friday night, at 1-2, Kimi Antonelli was not yet a prohibitive favourite to win the drivers' championship but George Russell was next best at 9-4, with Lando Norris 14-1 to retain his title, and Charles Leclerc 20-1. However, narrow the focus to this weekend's party by the Med and it was Antonelli who was 14-1, with Leclerc 5-6 favourite. Nothing you are about to see is likely to tell you anything about what is going to happen across the rest of the season, unless Antonelli overturns those Monaco Grand Prix odds. The Circuit Challenge: Monaco's Unique Streets Test Drivers in Unconventional Ways All F1 circuits are different, despite the off-the-shelf feel in the Middle East, but Monaco is the outlier's outlier. The street circuits generally have more idiosyncrasies than those F1 tracks simply going about their day jobs but the twists and slopes of the principality are unlike anything else. It's as if one of the major cricket venues did not just have one tree in the middle of it, in the manner of Canterbury and its lime (RIP), but an avenue here and a copse (from Silverstone?) there. The Odds Analysis: Betting Patterns Show Monaco's Impact on Championship Contenders As a result, a lot of the issues over this season's cars can be parked for a week. No one will be complaining about being unable to drive flat-out, as the necessary braking will deliver all the electrical recharge needed and the straights are far shorter than elsewhere. This plays to Ferrari's strengths and negates Mercedes's, hence those odds on the local lad. The Local Hero: Leclerc's Special Connection to the Principality Plenty of sportspeople move to Monte Carlo for tax reasons the climate, but Leclerc is a born-and-bred Monegasque. The 28-year-old – whose late father drove in the French Formule 3 – grew up on these streets, watching grands prix. Aged eight and nine he would have seen Fernando Alonso win, and as a 10-year-old, Lewis Hamilton. In 2024 Leclerc became the first hometown GP winner in Monte Carlo since Louis Chiron in 1931. The Race Preview: What to Expect from Qualifying and Sunday's Grand Prix It is unlikely to be Ferrari's or Leclerc's year, but this could be their weekend. Qualifying for Sunday's race gets under way at 3pm BST; join me for more buildup from 2.30pm.

The Lead: Spain Enter 2026 World Cup as Defending European ChampionsSpain arrive in Group H as the reigning Euro 2024 champions and the world’s #2 ranked side, widely regarded as the tournament favourite. The squad blends a new golden generation with seasoned veterans, aiming to end a 16‑year trophy drought since their 2010 triumph. Squad Composition and Emerging TalentsThe 26‑man roster is dominated by Barcelona players, with eight La Masia alumni selected and no Real Madrid representatives for the first time. Key figures include:Lamine Yamal (right winger, 16) – 16 La Liga goals, 11 assists this season.Rodri (Manchester City, midfield) – Ballon d’Or winner, recovering from a Sep‑2024 ACL injury.Pedri and Fabián Ruiz – midfield lynchpins, both returning from injury.Gavi, Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres – versatile attackers adding depth.Goalkeeping duties are shared by Unai Simón, David Raya and Joan García. The defensive line features a mix of experience (Aymeric Laporte, Eric García) and youth (Pedro Porro, Marc Cucurella). Key Statistics and Fitness SnapshotHistorical context and current form provide a quantitative backdrop:Previous World Cup appearances: 16Best performance: Winners (2010)First appearance: 1934 (Italy)Top scorer (all‑time): David Villa (9)Most caps: Sergio Busquets, Iker Casillas, Sergio Ramos (17)Fitness concerns heading into the tournament:Rodri – limited minutes post‑ACL, contract expiring.Mikel Merino – stress‑fracture surgery in Feb 2026, uncertain recovery.Pedri – back to form after long layoff.Fabian Ruiz – cleared from knee injury.Nico Williams – recovered from hamstring issue. Strategic Implications for Group H and Tournament OutlookSpain’s group fixtures present a clear hierarchy of difficulty:June 15 – vs Cape Verde (ranked 69) – expected win.June 21 – vs Saudi Arabia – potential upset risk.June 26 – vs Uruguay in Guadalajara – toughest test, physical and tactically savvy side.The absence of a traditional target man could force Spain to rely on wing play from Yamal and Williams, while midfield dominance hinges on Rodri’s fitness. Coach Luis de la Fuente emphasizes a faster, more direct style, moving away from classic tiki‑taka. Forecast: Can La Roja Replicate 2010 Glory?Analysts, including Al Jazeera, predict a championship run if the squad stays healthy and the young stars maintain consistency. However, the lack of a world‑class centre‑forward and lingering injury doubts introduce uncertainty. Should Yamal and the attacking unit stay fit, Spain possess the talent depth to navigate the knockout stages and challenge for a second World Cup title.

The LeadDiagnostic interviews for mental health conditions, commonly used to diagnose disorders including depression, anxiety, bipolar, and personality disorders, show significant variation in reliability according to a new study published in Jama Network Open. The research challenges the long-held assumption that these interviews serve as a definitive "gold standard" for mental health assessment.The Study's Findings on Diagnostic ReliabilityLaura Duncan, a psychiatry professor at McMaster University in Ontario, Canada and one of the study's authors, pointed out that diagnostic interviews "continue to be widely viewed as the best available approach, possibly due to the lack of better alternatives." The review study brings together evidence from studies on "test-retest reliability" of diagnostic interviews from February 2024 to September 2025.The study's authors used Cohen's kappa coefficient to estimate reliability, measuring how often patients would receive the same diagnosis when given the same diagnostic interview twice, accounting for chance agreement. The average reliability was generally better for substance use disorders, with opioid use disorder showing the highest overall reliability. Duncan attributed this to substance use disorder criteria being largely behavior-based, making them easier to quantify than symptoms like sadness or anxiety.The Data Analysis: Interview Types and Their LimitationsThe review included papers on various diagnostic tools including the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM 5 (SCID) and Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview (Mini), as well as tools for specific disorders like the Clinically Administered PTSD Scale (Caps).Dr. Michael First, a psychiatrist and professor at Columbia University who authored the SCID, criticized the study for lumping "fully structured" and "semi-structured" interviews together. Fully structured interviews follow a strict script and are more likely to yield consistent results, while semi-structured interviews allow clinicians to ask follow-up questions based on patient responses, potentially leading to more accurate diagnoses but also more variability between sessions.Despite these limitations, both experts agree that more objective laboratory tests for mental conditions are needed, though First noted that psychiatrists have been hoping for such tests "for 50 years" without success.The Impact Analysis: Shaping the Future of Psychiatric DiagnosisThe study highlights a critical need for more rigor in psychiatric diagnosis methods. While diagnostic interviews remain the primary tool for assessment, their variable reliability raises questions about the consistency of mental health diagnoses across different settings and providers.The research underscores the challenges in mental health assessment, where subjective reporting of symptoms often forms the basis of diagnosis. This variability can have significant implications for treatment decisions, research outcomes, and patient care across healthcare systems.The criticism from experts like Dr. First also points to methodological challenges in studying diagnostic tools themselves, including inconsistent reporting of interview formats and designs in research literature.The Prediction: Toward a New Diagnostic ParadigmLooking forward, Duncan suggested an alternative approach where clinicians "move away from strict diagnostic categories, where a condition is either present or absent, and think about symptoms on a spectrum or continuum." This shift could potentially lead to more nuanced understanding and treatment of mental health conditions.As the field continues to evolve, there's a clear need for both improved diagnostic instruments and more comprehensive research comparing different interview methodologies. The study's authors emphasize that the limitations identified in current diagnostic approaches should motivate further development of more reliable assessment tools in psychiatry.

The Lead: The Derby 2026 Unfolds at Epsom The 247th running of The Derby, the most famous Classic in horse racing, is underway at Epsom Downs with 14 runners vying for the prestigious title. Guardian's Greg Wood provides live coverage, previews, and expert picks for the day's major races including the Derby Stakes, Dash Handicap, and Coronation Cup. The Event Details: Race Previews and Analysis The Derby Stakes, scheduled for 4pm BST, features 14 horses competing to become the 247th horse on the Derby's roll of honor. Recent rain has affected the going, adding an element of unpredictability to the race. Other key races include the 3.15pm Dash Handicap and the 2.40pm Coronation Cup, which features last year's winner, last year's Derby winner, and the officially top-rated horse on the planet, Calandagan. The Data Analysis: Form Guide and Key Contenders For the Derby Stakes, several horses stand out based on recent form. Benvenuto Cellini's Chester Vase win and the competitive Lingfield race between Maltese Cross and Bay Of Brilliance are noted as strong form indicators. Item could become the fifth Dante winner this century to add the Derby to his record, while Ancient Egypt is ready to live up to his pedigree and price tag for Kia Joorabchian and Charlie Johnston. In the Dash Handicap, a field of 20 runners will compete over the minimum five-furlong trip. The high numbers generally hold sway in races at this distance, and the speedy nature of the track means the pace tends to hold up. Kinswoman, the favorite, and Lexington Buzz are expected to perform well, with Irish raider Eclairage also showing promise. The Coronation Cup features an exceptional lineup, including last year's winner Lambourn, last year's Derby winner Jan Brueghel, and the World's Best Racehorse in 2025, Calandagan, who has been on an unbeaten five-race spree at the sport's highest level. The Impact Analysis: Significance in the Horse Racing Calendar The Derby remains one of the most prestigious races in the global horse racing calendar, attracting the best three-year-old thoroughbreds from around the world. The event's cultural significance extends beyond the sport, with celebrities like Mary Berry and Jodie Kidd attending, adding to the pageantry and tradition of the occasion. The rain-softened ground conditions have added an element of unpredictability, potentially favoring horses with proven form on similar surfaces. This could lead to surprises and potentially create new stars in the sport. The Prediction: Expert Picks and Race Outlook Greg Wood has made his selections for the day's key races. For the Derby Stakes, he favors Bay Of Brilliance as an each-way option, citing the strength of the Lingfield form and the advantage of stall position for the horse. For the Dash Handicap, he recommends Eclairage from stall 14, noting the tendency for high-numbered horses to perform well in this race. In the Coronation Cup, Calandagan is the clear favorite, with Wood expecting him to continue his unbeaten streak at the sport's highest level.

The Rise of Middle-earth: Tolkien's Triumph Over Literary ClassicsIn a remarkable shift from established literary canon, JRR Tolkien's The Lord of the Rings has topped The Guardian's readers' poll of the 100 greatest novels published in English, displacing George Eliot's Middlemarch from its previous position. The trilogy, which didn't even feature when authors, critics and academics made their selection, has resonated deeply with readers across the globe, from Uruguay to the Isle of Skye, Albuquerque to Sydney.The Enduring Appeal of Epic FantasyThe Lord of the Rings' victory speaks to its unique ability to connect with readers on a fundamental level. As one Alabama voter noted, the novel contains "profound meaning about the importance of life, sacrifice, the natural world, corruption of power, the evils of war, generosity of spirit." Its influence extends across generations and cultures, with readers from various backgrounds citing its immersive world-building, complex themes, and emotional resonance as reasons for its enduring popularity.The novel's journey to the top is particularly noteworthy given its unconventional publication history. Originally conceived as a single work but published as a trilogy after negotiations between Tolkien and his publisher, the series has transcended its format to become a cultural touchstone. Readers have been drawn to its blend of ancient mythological elements with modern storytelling techniques, creating what one voter described as a world that "still persists in my memory."Notable Shifts in Literary RankingsReaders exercised their power to significantly reshape the literary landscape compared to the previous critics' list. Joseph Heller's Catch-22, which "just squeaked into the first list," has now jumped to the eighth position, ranked higher than established classics like Ulysses, Anna Karenina, and The Great Gatsby. Similarly, David Foster Wallace's Infinite Jest, absent from the original list, now sits in 31st position, sharing its ranking with The Master and Margarita, The Poisonwood Bible, and The Remains of the Day.The list also reveals interesting patterns in reader preferences compared to critics. While Victorian literature maintains a strong presence, with Middlemarch's "consistent showing" and other works by Eliot, Dickens, and Hardy, readers have elevated contemporary works that critics may have overlooked. The enduring popularity of Jane Austen, readers' most nominated writer overall, demonstrates the continued relevance of classic literature in modern reading culture.The Absence of Literary Giants and Changing TastesStaggeringly, the list shows no recognition for work by several male titans of recent American literature—no Bellow, no Roth, no Updike, no DeLillo. This absence highlights the "waxing and waning of reputation" and the "speed with which literary fashion forms and reforms." Similarly, some English novelists who were once central to cultural life—no Iris Murdoch, or CP Snow, or Angus Wilson—failed to make the cut.The list also reveals a notable absence of lighter, humorous works. While Terry Pratchett and Douglas Adams secured places with their respective series, other comedic authors like PG Wodehouse, Nancy Mitford, and Jerome K Jerome were overlooked. This raises questions about how "best" often equates to "serious" or "weighty" literature in critical assessments, despite the inherent value of humor in storytelling.The Future of Literary Canons and Reader InfluenceThis readers' poll demonstrates the power of audience participation in shaping cultural narratives. Unlike previous lists compiled by critics and academics, this one reflects the genuine preferences of a diverse readership, leading to a more eclectic and contemporary selection of works. The inclusion of newer entries like John Kennedy Toole's A Confederacy of Dunces—published posthumously and now sharing the 32nd position—suggests that readers are more willing to embrace overlooked or rediscovered literary gems.As literary tastes continue to evolve, we can expect similar shifts in how we value and rank literature. The enduring popularity of works like The Lord of the Rings, which combines epic storytelling with universal themes, suggests that readers continue to seek narratives that transcend time and place. While established classics will always have their place, the growing influence of reader preferences may lead to a more diverse and inclusive literary canon in the future.

The Origins of 'Mogging' Until recently, if someone had said "mog" to me, I probably would have assumed they were talking about the children's book cat created by the late great Judith Kerr. If asked about "mogging" or being "mogged," I would have been completely baffled. But for many members of gen Z and gen Alpha (or anyone who is just a bit too online), the slang term, which means to outdo or outshine others, is everywhere. From Manosphere to Mainstream Mogging's origins are in the manosphere, where it began as a verb derived from the acronym "Amog" (alpha male of the group). In misogynistic forums in the 2010s, to "mog" came to mean to outdo someone in terms of sexual desirability. Mogging has been adopted by "looksmaxxing" influencers such as Braden Peters, known online as Clavicular, who encourage men to try to alter their looks – sometimes in extreme ways – to increase their "sexual market value". Such an influencer might talk of "frame mogging" another person in a photo or video – a variation on mogging that specifically refers to being more muscular. The Evolution of Competitive Language Even now, as the term has begun to be used much more widely, and in a tongue-in-cheek way, it is still typically associated with looks (a friend of mine, for example, was described by her boyfriend's younger siblings as "mogging him" in a photo). But increasingly, mogging can mean besting others at basically anything. The gold medal Olympic figure skater Alysa Liu said in an interview last year that her main competition strategy was "to mog", while a 23-year-old colleague of mine tells me that she and her friends joke about "walk-mogging" when they overtake people on the street. Linguistic Analysis of Modern Slang Tony Thorne, director of the slang and new language archive at King's College London, says a lot of new slang terms "have come recently from the same kind of male-based internet culture", referencing the words "simp" (someone who is excessively attentive), "soy boy" (a derogatory term for a man who is not stereotypically masculine) and "sigma" (someone cool and successful). Not to mention "maxxing," now such an established part of the lexicon that it was tweeted by the US Department of Defense earlier this year. The Cultural Impact of Competitive Slang Thorne thinks it is significant that "mogging" in particular has become fashionable at this time. "What it implies – hyper-competitive, hyper-individualist, aggressive selfishness" has become "mainstream behaviour", he says. Which is why Will Adolphy, a psychotherapist who was himself once an ardent follower of manosphere influencers, has concerns about the word. "Part of me can see how it's a kind of handy, even entertaining word," he says. But the idea of mogging "reinforces this sense that there are certain people that will dominate others based off their physical appearance and status", he says. Psychological Concerns About Competitive Language Dr Emily Sehmer, an NHS child and adolescent psychiatrist, worries too about the "constant sense of competition" that concepts such as mogging help to foster, especially for teenagers, who are developing their socio-emotional skills and typically "have a desire to fit in and to get peer approval". Apart from anything else, she adds, wanting to mog someone is "kind of mean, isn't it?" The Ironical Reappropriation of 'Mogging' "I think people are right to be concerned," about the rise in usage of slang that originates from a toxic subculture, Thorne says – and notes that some of his fellow linguists feel uncomfortable about researching it. But, he adds, "mogging" has moved well beyond its origins, and many people who use it now "tend to understand it and laugh at it, and they use it themselves, but ironically". Certainly, plenty of mogging content on social media now has an irreverence to it: such as the trend of posing for the photo on a rollercoaster in order to "mog" the screaming riders next to you. Making what started as an aggressive concept into something very silly pokes fun at the ridiculousness of the manosphere, my younger colleague explains. She shows me a picture of herself on a recent holiday, standing next to a statue of Napoleon, that she sent to a group chat of her friends. The caption? "I mogged Napoleon!"