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Saturday marks the 100‑day milestone of the war that the United States and Israel began against Iran, yet the conflict has become a political liability for President Donald Trump and the Republican Party as public opposition deepens. The 100‑Day Milestone of the US‑Israel Iran War The campaign started on February 28 with air strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and dozens of officials, followed by Iranian missile and drone retaliation and a shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. A truce was announced on April 6, but skirmishes and a naval blockade persist, keeping the war in a “no war, no peace” limbo. Polling Numbers Reveal Deepening Domestic Opposition Only 16 % of U.S. voters believe the United States is winning or has won the war (University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll). A majority—58 %—disapprove of Trump's handling of the conflict (Institute for Global Affairs poll). Only 24 % say the war makes the United States safer. 33 % of Republicans view the war’s impact as more negative than positive, versus 12 % who see it as more positive. 79 % of respondents say the war has affected the cost of living in the United States. Political Fallout for Trump Ahead of the Midterms The erosion of public support is translating into electoral risk. Democrats are targeting control of Congress in the November midterms, a shift that could block Trump's agenda and expose him to impeachment threats if the war’s economic fallout worsens. Analysts note that the war has moved from a foreign‑policy issue to a “pocket‑book” concern, directly influencing voter sentiment on inflation and energy prices. What the Next Weeks Could Mean for Trump and the GOP If the war continues without a diplomatic breakthrough, the Republican Party may face a “turning point” as even older, traditionally hawkish voters grow restless. Trump has downplayed domestic concerns, claiming he “doesn’t care about the midterms,” but political strategists warn that sustained economic pain from higher oil prices could swing swing‑state voters toward Democrats. Conversely, a rapid de‑escalation or a perceived victory could restore some of the president’s waning credibility before voters head to the polls.

The Plight of the UK Ceramics Sector The UK ceramics sector, a centuries-old craft integral to the country's heritage, is facing significant challenges. Portmeirion, a homeware brand based in Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire, is one of the prominent companies in this industry. With 433 employees, Portmeirion is a major player in the sector, which employs 20,000 people across the UK, half of them in the West Midlands. The Challenges Facing the Industry The industry is struggling due to international competition, rising labor expenses, and soaring energy costs. The cost of gas to power furnaces has increased significantly, with UK month-ahead prices hovering around 118p a therm – 50% up on the 78.50p the day before the Iran war began. This has put pressure on companies, with some, like Royal Stafford and Heraldic Pottery, going bust or teetering on the brink. The Impact of Energy Costs and Net Zero Targets Rising energy costs are central to the financial difficulties faced by the ceramics sector. The industry is energy-hungry, and the cost of decarbonization is a significant burden. While the sector is committed to decarbonizing and has spent £750m on initiatives to do so, it is inherently difficult to wean off fossil fuels. The government's target to reach net zero emissions by 2050 has also come under fire, with some arguing that it is not realistic and is leading to deindustrialization. The Call for Support The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, announced a £120m support package to support energy efficiency, decarbonization, and long-term competitiveness in the ceramics sector. However, industry leaders argue that more needs to be done to support the sector. Rob Flello, the chief executive of Ceramics UK, wants the government to 'decarbonise sensibly rather than decarbonising by deindustrialisation, which is the path we're on at the moment'. The Future of the Industry The UK ceramics sector is a vital part of the country's economy and heritage. If things get really tough in the geopolitical world and the UK can't repair its bridges because it can't make engineering bricks in the country anymore, it will have to import them from overseas, exporting its carbon to somewhere else. The industry is calling for more help to save what is considered a 'vital industry'.

The Shift in Defense EthicsFormer GCHQ head David Omand has called for the integration of moral guidelines into future AI-powered weapon systems, arguing that autonomous drones are the only way to manage the speed of modern warfare. Omand, who previously chaired a 2014 commission on armed drones expressing doubts about AI's ability to distinguish civilians, now believes technology can "formalize moral authority" to ensure compliance with international humanitarian law.From Skepticism to "Adaptive Moral Control"Omand's intervention marks a significant pivot in the debate over autonomous weapons. He proposes an "adaptive moral control layer" where humans set the parameters of a mission—such as the expected proximity of civilians—before deployment. The AI then operates within these constraints, making split-second targeting decisions that reflect "sound moral reasoning." This approach aims to move away from the "in the loop" model, where a human authorizes every action, to an "on the loop" model where humans supervise the system's parameters.The $54bn AI Arms RaceThe push for ethical AI in warfare is fueled by massive investment and the reality of modern combat. The US is aggressively pursuing this technology, allocating $54bn for autonomous systems in its 2027 budget. This spending is driven by the need to shorten the "kill chain" in conflicts like the Iran war, where AI tools from companies like Palantir and Anthropic are already being deployed to process data faster than human operators can react.Redefining Human Oversight in CombatThe debate is fundamentally changing how military leaders view human involvement. Omand argues that relying on humans to make every decision in the "heat of combat" is operationally impossible and likely to lead to worse collateral damage. Instead, he envisions a future where machines execute attacks under strict human-defined ethical boundaries. However, critics like Chris Cole of Drone Wars UK argue that AI is merely a data processor incapable of the cognitive judgment required to distinguish combatants from civilians or judge proportionality.The Future of Automated WarfareThe consensus among defense analysts is that the shift to "on the loop" systems is inevitable. As warfare accelerates, the ability to program ethical constraints into autonomous systems may become a standard requirement for military capability. The challenge moving forward will be ensuring that these "moral codes" are robust enough to prevent civilian casualties while maintaining the speed advantage that AI provides.

UN Warns US‑Iran Conflict Threatens Global Food SecurityThe United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) released an analysis on 5 June 2026 warning that the ongoing US‑Iran war is driving oil prices upward and creating “profound implications” for worldwide food security.Escalating Conflict Drives Oil Prices and Food‑Price PressuresSince the war began on 28 February, the near‑closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted oil shipments, pushing crude toward the $100 a barrel mark. While the FAO Food Price Index shows only a modest rise, the ripple effect on fuel‑dependent economies is already evident.Projected Hunger Numbers Reveal Millions at Risk45 million people could face acute food shortages if oil stays at $100/barrel by the end of June.In Somalia, an estimated 6.5 million people – about one‑third of the population – are expected to experience severe hunger in 2026.Afghanistan could see 17.4 million people affected, with up to 2.3 million newly food‑insecure.Sri Lanka faces a risk of 1.3 million people unable to meet basic food needs.Additional 2.5 million in both Somalia and Afghanistan may be unable to afford a basic food basket.Spillover Effects on Fragile Nations and Humanitarian FundingThe WFP notes that higher fuel costs, food‑price spikes, income losses and trade disruptions are converging with pre‑existing vulnerabilities, amplifying food‑security shocks. The global humanitarian system is also under a “double squeeze” as delivery costs rise, forcing the agency to cut its 2026 assistance target by 1.5 million people.If the conflict endures for six months, more than 9 million people could lose aid, driven by soaring operational expenses and local food‑price inflation.Outlook: Potential Humanitarian Gap if Hostilities PersistWith indirect negotiations stalled and no clear end‑date in sight, the WFP warns that continued conflict will deepen food‑insecurity gaps across the most vulnerable regions. Policymakers and donors are urged to address both the immediate price shock and the longer‑term funding shortfall to prevent a widening humanitarian crisis.

Lead: Prices Decline as Geopolitical Tensions Hit AffordabilityUK house prices fell unexpectedly in May, marking the third straight monthly decline. The dip reflects higher mortgage costs driven by the war in Iran, which is stretching buyer budgets and dampening demand.War‑Driven Mortgage Pressure Triggers Third Consecutive Monthly DropAmanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax, said property trends continue to mirror uncertainty from Middle‑East developments. Even after recent mortgage‑rate cuts, inflation expectations keep borrowing costs above early‑year levels, limiting affordability.Data Snapshot: Price, Rate and Inflation FiguresAverage UK home price: £298,806 in May (‑0.1% vs. April).Annual price growth: 0.5% (up from 0.4% in April, below the 1% forecast).Two‑year fixed mortgage rate: 5.66% (up from 4.83% in early March).Five‑year fixed mortgage rate: 5.62% (up from 4.95%).UK inflation (April): 2.8%, the lowest in over a year.Energy‑price‑cap increase expected in July: 13% to £1,850 per year.Impact: A Buyers’ Market Tempered by First‑Time Buyer CautionOnTheMarket president Jason Tebb described the current environment as “the strongest buyers’ market we have seen in many years,” with ample stock and steadier prices. However, Halifax notes that activity among first‑time buyers is “more subdued,” suggesting lingering affordability concerns.Economists warn that the upcoming rise in the household energy price cap could push inflation higher, potentially prompting further mortgage‑rate adjustments.Outlook: Prices Likely to Hold Steady but Vulnerable to Cost PressuresHalifax expects house prices to remain “broadly stable” in the near term, provided mortgage rates do not climb sharply. Yet, the combination of higher energy costs, possible inflation upticks, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty means the market could face renewed downward pressure later in the year.

The Climate Policy Reversal in Blue States Democratic-led states are eroding their climate policies, as red states are scaling up their clean energy deployment. California on Friday scaled back its cap-and-invest program, offering more than $3bn in free pollution allowances to polluting companies. Earlier the same week, New York weakened its groundbreaking climate law, delaying a plan to regulate carbon from 2024 until 2028 and reducing emissions-slashing targets. Rhode Island's governor, meanwhile, is attempting to roll back aggressive clean-energy programs. The Economic Justification vs. Climate Imperative The moves come as Donald Trump's administration withdraws clean energy incentives and energy savings programs, and as energy prices spike across the country amid trade disruptions stemming from the US-Israeli war on Iran. Proponents have said the changes are necessary to suppress electricity costs, but climate advocates say that view is short-sighted and misguided. "Using affordability as a cudgel to weaken climate policy is a major error that will not solve either crisis, ultimately amplifying both," said Johanna Bozuwa, executive director of the Climate and Community Institute, a left-leaning thinktank. "Extreme weather and fossil-fuel dependency directly inflate costs – for food, energy, transportation, housing, and health – across the economy for working people." American Public Opinion on Climate Change Polls show most Americans are concerned about the climate crisis. An annual poll from Gallup, published in April, shows that 44% of American adults say they worry "a great deal" about global warming – one of the highest levels of concern since 1989, when the poll was first conducted, behind only 2020 and 2017. About 65% of registered voters in the US also think global heating is driving up the cost of living, according to a report published in December by Yale University and George Mason University. Red States Lead Clean Energy Buildout In contrast to many Democratic-led jurisdictions, red states have tended to dominate renewable energy deployment in recent years. In terms of growth of utility-scale renewables, states that voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election made up eight of the top 10 in the year to March, according to Energy Information Administration data. Indiana tops the list of states with the most clean energy capacity growth in that timeframe, followed by Kentucky and Utah. More broadly, though, it is Texas that has emerged as the country's leading clean energy superpower, despite its strong ties to the oil and gas industry and unsuccessful attempts within the Republican-led legislature to curb the growth of wind and solar. Texas leads the country in wind energy production, followed by fellow red states Iowa, Oklahoma and Kansas, and in March overtook California in utility-scale solar, too. The Paradox of Climate Leadership Meanwhile, the states scaling back their emissions-cutting policies have long called themselves climate leaders. When Governor Gavin Newsom of California extended his state's cap-and-invest program last year, he said: "We're doubling down on our best tool to combat Trump's assaults on clean air … by making polluters pay for projects that support our most impacted communities." The changes could end up giving more money to the fossil fuel producers and distributors who have been increasing consumers' energy prices amid the Iran war, said Bahram Fazeli, Policy Director with Communities for a Better Environment, a grassroots organization in California. "There's no reason to think that giving them more free allowances will actually help motivate them to lower gas prices more," he said. Long-Term Economic Implications New York advocates are also skeptical about whether the weakening of the 2019 Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act – which the state touted as among the strongest climate laws the country – will deliver long-term benefits. The state legislature last week reached a deal with Governor Kathy Hochul to remove a 2030 mandate to cut planet-warming pollution by 40% from 1990 levels, instead including language to aim for a 60% by 2040 if it is "feasible and cost effective" to do so. "Even though you might see bill savings initially, that's going to come at the cost of locked-in, higher energy costs in the future, as the grid has to procure more energy that would otherwise have been saved," Anna Johnson, a senior policy manager State at American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, told Baltimore's NPR affiliate WYPR; she estimates that the moves could ultimately increase households' electricity costs by $592m. The True Cost of Inaction The climate crisis itself also costs for working people, said Mar Zepeda Salazar, legislative director of the national environmental justice coalition Climate Justice Alliance. "You can lower costs on paper by weakening protections, but the bill still comes due," she said. "It just shows up in emergency rooms, insurance premiums, utility bills, lost wages, and disaster recovery – that families pay, not industry."

The LeadTelevision viewers are in for a diverse lineup tonight, with Emilia Clarke taking center stage in a cold war spy drama, culinary competition reaching its finale, and international football action. The evening offers something for every taste, from reality dating shows to historical documentaries and supernatural westerns.Emilia Clarke's Cold War Spy Drama9pm, Sky AtlanticEmilia Clarke learned Russian for this exciting cold war comedy drama and continues to flex her impressive skills as US spy Bea. She prepares to go on a date with a KGB agent to strengthen her cover, and gets some tips from Twila. Meanwhile, Twila is also taking secret calls to investigate a number of sex worker murders.Culinary Competition at Its Peak8pm, BBC OneAfter an intense Chef's Table stage at Opheem in Birmingham, where the finalists prepared sand carrot in eight different ways for Michelin-starred chefs, the remaining trio now face their toughest challenge. They must create their best three-course menus in just three hours for the judges.Garden Inspiration for Viewers8pm, BBC TwoThe roses are peaking at Longmeadow, giving Monty Don the chance to celebrate England's favourite flower in all its various guises. There are tips for viewers whose blooms aren't quite in bloom, while Brighton's city garden shows what can be achieved in cramped urban spaces, and a Bedfordshire plot full of succulents demonstrates tropical gardening possibilities.Summer Travel Concerns8pm, Channel 4With headlines suggesting that the Iran war is sending jet fuel prices soaring and causing flight cancellations, Kate Quilton investigates whether there's more chance of getting stuck abroad this summer or if airlines might actually start offering super bargains to compete.National Trust's Hidden Treasures9pm, BBC TwoAnother trip behind the velvet ropes to witness the restoration efforts of National Trust staff. At Snowshill Manor in the Cotswolds, a child's suit of lacquered samurai armour requires some serious TLC, while at Calke Abbey in Derbyshire a variety of historic stuffed birds need their feathers unruffled.Love Stories Across Generations10pm, Channel 4Love can strike at any age, as this week's visit to Cupid's restaurant proves. On one table, 62-year-old hairdresser Liz has a promising night with builder Paul. Over on another table, 19-year-olds Rue and Kaitlyn are only just dipping their toes into the world of dating.Film Highlights for TonightDead Man's Wire (Gus Van Sant, 2025), 8am, 8pm, Sky Cinema PremiereThe spirit of the Al Pacino classic Dog Day Afternoon is alive and well in Gus Van Sant's drama. Bill Skarsgård is all gangly, edgy energy as Tony Kiritsis, a low-level Indianapolis land developer who takes ML Hall's son hostage using a contraption connected to a shotgun.Devil in the Dust (Ned Crowley, 2025), Paramount+This western is knocked off-kilter almost immediately when a cute little blond girl kills a horse by touching it. The supernatural frisson never really goes away as we follow Guy Pearce's grizzled, ether-addicted doctor Bender on a quest to a preacher who can supposedly take out the devil in the girl.Live Sports ActionWomen's World Cup Football, Spain v England, 7.30pm, ITV1A qualifier in Palma, Mallorca brings together these two footballing nations in an important match that could impact their standings in the tournament.

The LeadA supernatural play based on the Iranian horror movie 'Under the Shadow' explores the terror of life in Iran during the 1979 revolution and the Iran-Iraq war. The Event DetailsThe play, adapted by Carmen Nasr from Babak Anvari's 2016 film, is set in Tehran in 1988. It tells the story of Shideh, a woman who hides in her apartment with her terrified daughter as the Iraq-Iran war rages on. The play explores themes of fear, survival, and the supernatural. The Data AnalysisThe play's creative team, including director Nadia Latif and actress Leila Farzad, bring their own experiences of war and displacement to the production. Latif's family has experience in Sudan, while Farzad's family is from Iran. The play's themes of hope and survival are universal, resonating with audiences from different backgrounds. The Impact AnalysisThe play's use of horror as a genre allows it to tackle complex themes like politics and collective suffering. By making the horrors of war personal, the play aims to bring the audience closer to the experiences of those living through conflict. The PredictionThe play is expected to be a powerful and thought-provoking production, exploring the complexities of life in Iran during a time of war and revolution. With its talented creative team and timely themes, it is likely to resonate with audiences and leave a lasting impact.

Donald Trump denounced four Republican representatives on Thursday for supporting a House resolution that would curb his authority to conduct military operations against Iran, calling the move “unpatriotic.” The resolution passed 215‑208, marking the first successful effort to limit the president’s war‑making powers since the 1973 War Powers Act.Trump Labels GOP Opponents “Unpatriotic” Over Iran War Powers VoteIn a post on Truth Social, Trump blasted the lawmakers for voting “right in the middle of my final negotiations to end the War with the Islamic Republic of Iran.” He singled out Thomas Massie (KY), Tom Barrett (MI), Warren Davidson (OH) and Brian Fitzpatrick (PA), calling them “GRANDSTANDERS” and urging them to be ashamed.Vote Count and Party Split Highlight Congressional TensionResolution passed 215‑208 in the House.Four Republicans joined Democrats to secure the majority.House composition: Democrats 221, Republicans 213.Senate control: 53 Republicans to 47 Democrats.Even if the Senate approves, Trump is expected to veto; a two‑thirds override would be required.Implications for U.S. Foreign Policy and 2024 MidtermsThe vote is being read as a signal that Trump’s grip on the GOP is loosening ahead of the November midterm elections. Lawmakers cite the Constitution’s war‑declaration clause and the War Powers Act, arguing that the president “illegally began this war” three months ago. Analysts note that public opinion polls show a growing majority of voters, including Republicans, oppose the Iran conflict, which has driven up fuel and commodity prices.What Comes Next for the War Powers Resolution and Iran NegotiationsFor the resolution to become law, it must clear the Republican‑controlled Senate and survive a presidential veto. Given the Senate’s narrow Republican majority, experts predict the measure will stall, leaving the House vote largely symbolic. Meanwhile, the administration’s diplomatic overtures remain uncertain; Trump has hinted a cease‑fire deal could emerge “by this weekend,” but the resolution’s passage may pressure negotiators to accelerate talks.