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Federal Probe into Santos' Kalshi Bet on State of the Union AttendanceThe Department of Justice has opened an investigation into whether George Santos, the expelled New York Republican, used insider information to place a wager on his own presence at President Trump’s State of the Union address. The alleged trade was made on Kalshi, an online prediction market that allows users to bet on real‑world events.Alleged Insider Trade on a Prediction MarketSantos reportedly posted publicly that he would attend the ceremony, then later claimed travel problems prevented him from going. The timing of the bet—made before the event and after his public statement—prompted Kalshi to flag the transaction to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which in turn notified the DOJ.Bet: Whether Santos would be present at the State of the Union.Platform: Kalshi prediction market.Trigger: Kalshi’s internal monitoring flagged the trade as potentially suspicious.Financial Stakes and Regulatory AlertsWhile the exact monetary value of the wager has not been disclosed, the case underscores growing regulatory attention on prediction markets. Earlier in 2025, Kalshi was fined for allowing three congressional candidates to bet on their own races, and the platform has faced congressional hearings over insider‑trading risks.Implications for Prediction Markets and Political AccountabilityThe investigation could set a precedent for how insider‑trading laws apply to emerging fintech platforms. If prosecutors find that Santos leveraged non‑public information, it may prompt stricter compliance requirements for prediction‑market operators and could lead to broader legislative efforts to curb political betting.What the Next Steps Could Look LikeThe DOJ is expected to issue subpoenas to both Santos and Kalshi as the inquiry progresses. Potential outcomes include criminal charges for insider trading, civil penalties for the platform, and heightened oversight from the CFTC. Observers anticipate that the case will fuel further debate in Congress about regulating prediction markets that intersect with political events.

The Investigation Wise, the UK-based international money transfer service and darling of the London fintech scene, has confirmed it is answering questions from Belgian prosecutors investigating money laundering, sending its shares tumbling. Details of the Investigation In a statement to the stock market, Wise said it was “currently working with the Brussels prosecutor to respond to queries about our business, as we routinely do with regulators and law-enforcement authorities. “His office’s inquiries are still incomplete and no specific findings have been shared with us to date.” Market Impact Shares in the company plunged by more than 10% by early afternoon, as investors digested official confirmation of discussions with the Belgian prosecutor’s office. Background and Allegations The London-based firm, which has 19 million customers, processes 4.7m transactions a day and is valued at more than £8bn, issued the statement in response to a report by The Bureau of Investigative Journalism (TBIJ). The report claimed that Belgian authorities are investigating whether Wise accounts have been “used by criminals to launder the proceeds of fraud, corruption and drug trafficking”. Prosecutors in Belgium reportedly opened the investigation last year, on the basis that Wise accounts had featured in hundreds of requests for cross-border help in criminal proceedings from more than 30 countries across Europe. The transactions under investigation amounted to €500m (£433m). Wise's Response and Compliance “Like every financial institution, we face the reality of increasingly sophisticated bad actors attempting to exploit our platform, and we continually invest in tech-enabled systems and teams to stay ahead of ever-evolving threats,” Wise told investors. “We start by verifying customers before they open an account and continue monitoring hundreds of data points in real time as customers use our products, with teams reviewing transactions, offboarding customers when needed, and proactively reporting suspicious activity to law enforcement. “We take our responsibility incredibly seriously. Around one-third of Wise’s global team is dedicated to protecting our customers from financial crime and this focus is shared across all of our teams.”

The Lead This week at TechCrunch’s StrictlyVC event in Athens, I sat down with three top VCs to discuss the current state of venture investing, the wave of mega-IPOs, and where they see opportunities in AI. VC Insights on AI and Mega-IPOs The conversation featured Niko Bonatsos of Verdict Capital, Andreas Stavropoulos of Threshold Ventures, and Ben Blume of Atomico. They discussed the potential impact of SpaceX's reported $1.75 trillion valuation at IPO, as well as the opportunities and challenges in the AI space. The Data Analysis SpaceX's potential $1.75 trillion valuation at IPO OpenAI and Anthropic potentially not far behind in terms of valuation Three-quarters of all venture capital raised over the last year went into five companies $500 million fund looking at the same opportunities as people investing from a $10 billion or $15 billion fund The Impact Analysis The VCs discussed how the current flood of capital into AI may be justified by future earnings, but also acknowledged the risk of extreme FOMO (fear of missing out). They also touched on the challenges of pricing deals when things are moving fast and the importance of looking beyond age as a proxy for entrepreneurial potential. The Prediction The VCs see opportunities in areas such as consumer fintech, AI interacting with the physical world, and robotics. They predict that the next generation of companies will be able to go after much larger markets and that immigrant founders will continue to play a significant role in driving innovation.

The Disrupt 2026 Stage: Two Paths to Influence The call for speakers offers two distinct formats designed to maximize engagement and knowledge transfer: Breakout Sessions: A 30-minute talk (up to 4 speakers) featuring a 20-minute audience Q&A;, limited to 100 attendees for high-impact interaction. Roundtables: A 30-minute speaker-led discussion without slides or AV, designed for intimate dialogue among up to 40 participants. Scaling the Narrative: The Scale of Disrupt 2026 With over 10,000 startup and VC leaders expected at Moscone West from October 13–15, the event serves as a critical nexus for discussing the next wave of innovation. The focus areas—AI, scaling, fintech, infrastructure, and robotics—highlight the industry's pivot toward complex, high-growth sectors. Shaping the Future of Tech Discourse This call for speakers is not merely a recruitment drive; it is a mechanism for curating the industry's future narrative. By inviting founders, investors, and operators to present, TechCrunch ensures the stage reflects real-world challenges and actionable insights rather than theoretical concepts. The Future of Industry Influence As the deadline approaches, the selection process—combining editorial review with an Audience Choice vote—signals a shift toward democratized content creation. The most influential voices of 2026 will be those who can engage directly with the community and demonstrate high-impact expertise before the cutoff.

The Final Countdown for TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 Savings This is it. The countdown is almost over. You now have until tonight at 11:59 p.m. PT to lock in Early Bird savings of up to $410 for TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 before prices increase. Event Overview: A Gathering of Tech's Elite If Disrupt has been on your must-attend list, this is your final chance to secure the lowest available rates before the next price jump hits. Once the deadline passes, so do the savings. Join 10,000+ founders, investors, operators, and innovators at Moscone West in San Francisco from October 13–15 for three days packed with networking, startup discovery, and conversations shaping the future of tech. Group Benefits: Bring Your Team at Reduced Rates Bring a plus-one at 50%, or bring a group to get an up to 30% discount. These options make it more affordable to attend with colleagues or team members. Why TechCrunch Disrupt Matters for the Industry TechCrunch Disrupt is where startup momentum accelerates. The event brings together the people actively building, funding, and scaling what's next across AI, fintech, SaaS, climate, cybersecurity, consumer tech, and beyond. What to Expect at the Conference With 300+ exhibiting startups, Startup Battlefield 200, curated networking experiences, and multiple stages of programming, Disrupt is built to help attendees make meaningful connections and real business progress. Who Should Attend Disrupt 2026 Disrupt is designed for founders raising capital, investors sourcing opportunities, operators scaling companies, and innovators looking for an edge. Whether you're launching your next startup, growing your network, or tracking the future of technology, Disrupt puts you in the room with the people driving the industry forward. High-Caliber Speakers and Sessions Every year, Disrupt brings together hundreds of influential voices across startups and venture capital. Past speakers have included leaders from the companies and firms shaping the future of AI, enterprise software, fintech, consumer tech, and more. This year will deliver the same high-caliber experience, with 200+ sessions across six industry-focused stages, plus roundtables and breakouts covering scaling, AI, fintech, infrastructure, robotics, and emerging technologies. Don't Miss the Early Bird Deadline Early Bird savings of up to $410 end tonight at 11:59 p.m. PT. After that, ticket prices increase. Register now to secure your TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 pass at a low rate before the deadline expires. Bringing more than just you? Save 50% on a second ticket, or up to 30% on community passes.

Four Days Left to Lock in Early‑Bird SavingsOnly four days remain for startups and investors to secure the lowest ticket rates for TechCrunch Disrupt 2026. The conference runs October 13‑15 at San Francisco’s Moscone West, gathering more than 10,000 founders, investors, and operators.Ticket Pricing Structure and Upcoming DeadlineCurrent early‑bird passes provide a discount of up to $410 compared to post‑deadline pricing. After May 29, 11:59 p.m. PT, rates increase, and the opportunity to save disappears.Early‑bird pass: up to $410 offStandard pass: full price after deadlineDeadline: May 29, 11:59 p.m. PTFinancial Incentive: Up to $410 Discount Before May 29The price differential translates into a tangible budget advantage for early‑stage companies. For a typical startup conference budget of $2,000‑$3,000, a $410 reduction represents a 15‑20% saving, freeing capital for travel, demo preparation, or post‑event follow‑ups.Why Early‑Bird Attendance Matters for Founders and InvestorsBeyond cost, the early‑bird window signals a strategic commitment to visibility and credibility. Disrupt’s agenda is divided into six industry stages—Builders, AI, AI in the Real World, Smart Money, Smart Systems, and the main Disrupt Stage—each designed to move founders from surface‑level exposure to trusted relationships.250+ sessions and roundtables provide repeated touchpoints with investors.300+ startup showcases ensure continuous visibility.Networking at the main stage amplifies narrative control for participating companies.What the Deadline Signals for the 2026 Startup LandscapeThe rush to lock in early‑bird tickets reflects heightened competition for attention in a crowded tech ecosystem. Companies that secure their passes now are positioning themselves to:Engage with investors who prioritize credibility over mere visibility.Demonstrate commitment to emerging trends—AI, fintech, and sustainable systems—highlighted in the conference tracks.Leverage the concentrated environment to accelerate fundraising cycles and partnership pipelines.As the deadline approaches, the firms that act quickly will likely shape the conversations that define the next wave of tech innovation.

The Lead: Google's AI Shift Toward Autonomous AgentsGoogle has launched Gemini 3.5 Flash, a new AI model representing the company's strategic pivot from conversational AI to autonomous agents capable of independently executing complex tasks. This move signals Google's bet that the future of AI lies in systems that can plan, build, and iterate on real work with minimal human intervention, rather than simply answering questions.The Technical Breakthrough: Gemini 3.5 Flash CapabilitiesGemini 3.5 Flash, introduced at Google's annual I/O developer conference, represents the company's strongest AI model yet for coding and autonomous agents. The model can independently execute coding pipelines, manage research projects, and, in internal tests, build an operating system entirely from scratch. This capability was demonstrated on stage when Google engineer Varun Mohan showed agents spawning off to work on separate components before coming together to build a full operating system inside Antigravity, Google's agentic development platform.Performance Benchmarks: Speed and EfficiencyThe model's performance is remarkable, according to Koray Kavukcuoglu, DeepMind's chief technologist. Flash 3.5 outperforms Google's latest frontier model, 3.1 Pro, on nearly all benchmarks, including coding, agentic tasks, and multimodal reasoning. Most notably, it's four times faster than other frontier models, with an optimized version that's 12 times faster while maintaining the same quality. This speed is crucial for agentic work, where multiple AI agents run simultaneously on long-running tasks.The Industry Shift: From Chatbots to Autonomous AgentsThe release of Gemini 3.5 Flash marks a significant industry shift from AI as a conversational tool to AI as an agentic tool. Google is positioning this as the next wave of AI technology, where systems don't just answer questions but actively plan, build, and iterate on real work. This transition is already showing impact among partners, with banks and fintechs automating multi-week workflows and data science teams finding insights in complex data environments. The model can run autonomously for multiple hours, though it will pause for human input at decision points requiring judgment.Future Outlook: Google's AI Ecosystem ExpansionLooking ahead, Google is developing a complementary model, 3.5 Pro, designed to work in tandem with Flash. According to Tulsee Doshi, Google's senior director and head of product, 3.5 Pro will serve as the orchestrator and planner, leveraging Flash as various sub-agents for tasks requiring brute force tool use. Gemini 3.5 Flash is now the default model in the Gemini app and AI Mode in Search, with agentic capabilities coming to Search and powering Gemini Spark, Google's new personal AI agent designed to run 24/7. As Google expands these autonomous capabilities, the company faces increasing scrutiny regarding safety and ethical considerations, particularly following past incidents with AI systems.

Kalshi, a US‑based prediction‑market platform, will provide $2 million over two years to the National Council on Problem Gambling (NCPG). The funding is earmarked for a “Financial Trader Health and Safety Initiative” aimed at education, prevention and support for retail participants, as the sector faces mounting regulatory pressure to be treated like traditional gambling.Kalshi’s $2 Million Commitment to the National Council on Problem GamblingThe partnership makes Kalshi the first “Financial Services & Trading” member of NCPG’s new Platinum‑level subcategory. As a Platinum member, Kalshi joins casino operators such as MGM Resorts International and betting firms like DraftKings and FanDuel in a coalition focused on consumer protection.Investment amount: $2 million over two yearsPurpose: “Strategic initiative focused on trader health and safety”Kalshi’s role: Platinum‑level member of NCPG’s Financial Services & Trading subcategoryFinancial Scale: $2 Million Over Two Years and $1 Billion Super Bowl Trading VolumeWhile the donation itself is modest relative to market activity, it highlights the financial heft of prediction markets. In the same year, more than $1 billion was traded on Kalshi during Super Bowl Sunday, underscoring the platform’s rapid growth.Super Bowl Sunday 2026 trading volume: > $1 billionDonation timeline: 2026‑2028Regulatory Ripple: How the Donation Shapes the Gambling‑vs‑Financial‑Exchange DebatePrediction‑market operators argue they are commodity‑based exchanges governed by federal law, not state gambling statutes. State officials, however, increasingly view these platforms as “gambling by another name,” prompting lawsuits and legislative proposals. By aligning with NCPG, Kalshi seeks to demonstrate a proactive stance on consumer protection, potentially softening regulatory attacks.Key argument from Kalshi: operates like a derivatives market, not a casinoOpposing view: several states argue prediction markets fall under gambling regulationsIndustry peers: Polymarket faces similar legal scrutinyLooking Ahead: Potential Shifts in US Prediction‑Market RegulationAnalysts expect the Kalshi‑NCPG partnership to serve as a template for other fintech firms. If the initiative successfully reduces risky trading behaviors, regulators may be more inclined to treat prediction markets as financial products, limiting the scope of state‑level gambling bans. Conversely, failure to demonstrate measurable safety outcomes could accelerate stricter state legislation.Short‑term outlook: increased dialogue between fintech firms and consumer‑protection NGOsMid‑term scenario: possible federal clarification distinguishing commodity trading from gamblingLong‑term risk: state‑level bans could fragment market access across the US

Rising Wealth Gap Among AI InsidersMenlo Ventures partner Deedy Das described San Francisco as "pretty frenetic" and highlighted the worst‑ever divide in outcomes within the AI sector. A back‑of‑the‑envelope calculation suggests a small elite is pulling ahead while most engineers confront stagnant wages and layoffs.Back‑of‑the‑Envelope Calculation Reveals 10,000 AI Insiders with $20M+ Net Worth~10,000 founders and employees at OpenAI, Anthropic, Nvidia and similar firmsEach has "retirement wealth" exceeding $20 millionAll other workers typically earn under $500 k over a lifetimeFinancial Snapshot: $20M+ Retirement Wealth vs. Sub‑$500k CareersThe calculation underscores a concentration of wealth:10,000 high‑net‑worth individualsAverage retirement portfolio > $20 millionMajority of AI talent earning $100‑$300 k annually, unlikely to reach similar wealthIndustry Ripple Effects: Layoffs, Skill Obsolescence, and Workforce MalaiseOngoing layoffs across tech firmsSoftware engineers report that their core skill set feels “no longer useful”Growing “deep malaise about work and its future” among non‑elite staffSocial media backlash, e.g., entrepreneur Deva Hazarika calling the elite “incredibly fortunate”Future Outlook: Consolidation, Talent Shifts, and Potential Policy ResponsesAnalysts anticipate several possible trajectories:Further consolidation of AI talent within a handful of high‑valued firmsIncreased migration of engineers to adjacent fields (e.g., biotech, fintech) seeking relevancePotential regulatory scrutiny on compensation disparities and workforce practicesEmergence of new venture models aimed at democratizing AI equity