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The Weight of Mourning in Diplomatic NegotiationsTehran is navigating a delicate duality this week: engaging in last-minute negotiations with Washington to shift a 60-day ceasefire into a comprehensive peace agreement, while simultaneously mourning the loss of dozens of senior military commanders killed in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel in June 2025.Commemorating the Fallen: IRGC Leaders and Nuclear ScientistsState-orchestrated commemorations are underway across Iranian cities to honor the fallen. The focus is on high-profile figures such as Mohammad Bagheri, chief of staff of the armed forces, Hossein Salami, commander-in-chief of the IRGC, and Ali Akbar Hajizadeh, the aerospace chief. These figures are being cast as eschatological figures and "end-times companions" in Shia Islam's narrative of martyrdom.Universities are also hosting events for nuclear scientists and physicists assassinated during the conflict, including Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi. The somber tone is underscored by the recent death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed on February 28 and is set to be buried at a Shia shrine in Mashhad.The Human Cost of the 12-Day War and Current ConflictJune 2025 War: More than 1,000 Iranians were killed in the US-Israeli bombing campaign, including several hundred civilians and dozens of children.Current War: At least 3,468 people have been killed, with nearly half being civilians.Iran's Strategic Narrative: Victory or Concession?Despite the heavy losses, the Iranian government is portraying the conflict as a necessary struggle to ward off foreign domination. Officials argue that resistance, rather than negotiations, led to the war, and that the country has emerged in a superior position. Iran claims to have effectively taken control of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global energy markets.However, the government faces significant internal friction. Ultra-hardliners are blasting the terms of the potential deal, which reportedly includes frozen overseas funds and questions over the Strait's status. Some hardliners are comparing the proposed agreement to the 2015 nuclear deal, viewing it as a "pure loss" for Iran.Navigating Hardliner Opposition in the Path to PeaceAs Pakistan's Prime Minister Shebaz Sharif indicates a potential interim agreement with the US could be finalized within 24 hours, Iran's hardline factions are warning against further concessions. Senior cleric Mahmoud Nabavian has warned that the new agreement looks "more damaging compared to the two prior versions."The coming days will be critical. While the government believes a deal is necessary to prevent further harm, the hardliners are demanding a "victory" narrative. The IRGC-affiliated Javan newspaper suggests that even with low odds of success, the cost of not trying diplomatic talks may be higher than the risk of engaging in them.

Iran announced that the national funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will begin on July 4 in Tehran, with burial in Mashhad scheduled for July 9. The schedule aligns with the United States’ Independence Day and follows a postponed March burial originally delayed by the ongoing war.Funeral and Burial Schedule Set for Late Supreme LeaderThe state media detailed a three‑day mourning period in Tehran starting July 4, a separate ceremony in the holy city of Qom on July 7, and the final interment in Khamenei’s hometown of Mashhad on July 9. The late leader, aged 86, was killed in a joint U.S.–Israeli air strike in February.Timeline and Key Dates Highlight the Political CalendarJuly 4: National funeral opens in Tehran.July 7: Additional rites held in Qom.July 9: Burial in Mashhad.March (original date): Burial postponed due to war.The dates intersect with the U.S. Independence Day, a symbolic coincidence that may influence diplomatic messaging.Domestic and International Implications of the CeremoniesDomestically, the extended mourning period provides the regime a controlled environment to manage public sentiment and reinforce the narrative of martyrdom. Internationally, the timing sends a subtle signal to Washington and Jerusalem, underscoring Iran’s resilience despite the strike that killed its leader.While Mojtaba Khamenei, the Supreme Leader’s son, has remained out of the public eye, recent remarks by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio suggest he may be taking a more active role in the ongoing negotiations following the April 8 truce.What the Next Weeks May Hold for Iran’s Leadership and DiplomacyAnalysts anticipate that the funeral period will be used to gauge the loyalty of the Revolutionary Guard and the broader political elite. A smooth transition to a successor—potentially a figure endorsed by Mojtaba—could stabilize internal dynamics and affect the trajectory of the U.S.–Iran talks.Conversely, any visible factional disputes during the ceremonies could embolden hard‑line elements, complicating the diplomatic overtures that have been tentative since the truce. The coming weeks will therefore be critical in shaping both Iran’s internal power structure and its external negotiations.

Lead: Amal’s Enduring Alliance in the 100‑day Israel‑Lebanon WarBeirut, Lebanon – The conflict between Israel and Lebanon has entered its 100‑day phase, and the partnership between the country’s two main Shia blocs – the Amal Movement and the armed‑political group Hezbollah – appears firm. Led by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Amal continues to act as the key domestic ally of Hezbollah, even as regional negotiations involving the US, Iran, Israel and Lebanon place Tehran’s proxy support under scrutiny. Historical Roots and Institutional Clout of the Amal MovementFounded in 1974 as the Movement of the Deprived by Musa Sadr and Hussein al‑Husseini, Amal (Arabic for “hope”) became a political and militia force during the civil war. After Berri assumed leadership in 1980, many religious militants shifted to the newly formed Hezbollah, but Amal retained the largest share of official Shia representation within Lebanese state institutions. Today, Berri serves as a conduit between Hezbollah and foreign diplomats, underscoring the interdependence of the two blocs. War‑Time Metrics Highlighting the Conflict’s Scale100‑day war milestone.Approximately 10,000 Israeli cease‑fire violations since November 2024.4,000 deaths recorded during a 66‑day Israeli assault, including senior Hezbollah commanders.Israel’s intensified attacks on March 2, following the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.88‑year‑old Speaker Nabih Berri seen wearing a plastic face shield, raising questions about his health and succession. Implications for Lebanon’s Shia Power BalanceAnalysts note that Hezbollah’s military weakening creates an opening for Amal to consolidate political influence. While Hezbollah remains a potent regional actor backed by the Iranian IRGC, its baggage limits its acceptability to Western and Gulf states. Amal, by contrast, can present itself as a “more acceptable” partner, speaking the language of state institutions, negotiation and reconstruction, while retaining credibility within parts of the Shia community.Two Amal ministers supported the cabinet’s decision to ban Hezbollah’s military activities, signaling a shift toward state‑centric control of armed groups. However, Hezbollah continues to conduct drone attacks and border clashes, indicating that the group retains operational capacity despite political constraints. Future Scenarios for Amal and HezbollahIf Hezbollah’s restructuring stalls or its regional backing diminishes, Amal could emerge as the central Shia political force, managing relations between the community, the Lebanese state and external actors. Conversely, the health of Berri and the lack of a clear succession plan may introduce uncertainty for Amal’s long‑term strategy. The outcome of ongoing US‑Iran and Israel‑Lebanon negotiations will also shape whether Amal can leverage its institutional position to become a stabilising, Western‑engaged interlocutor or remain a secondary partner to a resilient Hezbollah.

The Lead: Iran's Direct Response Changes Regional Dynamics After weeks of warning that continuing Israeli attacks on Lebanon would jeopardize diplomacy, Iran launched its first direct strikes on Israel in two months overnight on Sunday, casting new doubts about the likelihood of a US-Iran peace deal. While Israel and the US have sought to separate Israel's occupation of southern Lebanon from the wider US-Israeli war on Iran, Iran has consistently stated that it will not entertain a peace deal that does not extend to Lebanon as well. The Event Details: Tehran's Red Line in Beirut Following an initial Israeli raid on the southern suburbs of Beirut on Sunday – despite US assurances last week that Israel would not attack the Lebanese capital as long as Hezbollah refrained from strikes on northern Israel – Iran launched missiles at Israel overnight in retaliation. "Tonight's operation was a warning, and if the aggressions are repeated, the responses will be broader and will encompass all American-Zionist targets in the region," Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) said in a statement. Israel responded by carrying out multiple attacks across Iran on Monday, including the capital Tehran, despite US President Donald Trump reportedly telling Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to escalate. "I call the shots … he [Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu] doesn't call the shots," Trump told the UK's Financial Times on Sunday. The Human Cost: Devastation in Lebanon Lebanon was drawn into the US and Israel's war on Iran on March 2 after Tehran-aligned Hezbollah launched attacks on northern Israel. Hezbollah said the attacks were in retaliation for Israel's killing of Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on the first day of the US-Israeli war on Iran, on February 28. At least 3,613 people have been killed and 11,072 others injured in Israeli attacks across Lebanon since the fighting began again in March, according to the latest figures from Lebanon's Health Ministry. More than one-million people have been displaced from their homes as Israel has occupied nearly one-fifth of the country. The Impact Analysis: Iran's Strategic Shift One of the most significant developments of the current conflict is that Iran is increasingly abandoning the logic that has defined its regional posture for years. "Initially, the whole point of 'forward defence' was to prevent a state-on-state conflict between Israel and Iran," Rob Geist Pinfold, international security lecturer at King's College London, told Al Jazeera. "What we're seeing here is that Iran has completely changed that dynamic. Rather than using these proxy groups to fight for Iran, it is escalating itself as a state to fight for its proxy groups." Iran has now bound any peace framework to the fate of its regional allies. "Tehran's message is: Together in war, together in peace," said Negar Mortazavi, senior fellow at the Center for International Policy. The Prediction: A Violent Holding Pattern If Washington cannot prevent Israeli actions that Tehran considers unacceptable, analysts warn that Iran may conclude that the US is incapable of delivering the comprehensive ceasefire it is seeking. "The key question is whether Trump is willing to really rein in Israel in any meaningful way," Nadim Houry, executive director of the Arab Reform Initiative in Lebanon, said. For now, experts believe a temporary freeze in hostilities remains possible, but a durable peace appears much more difficult. "The more likely outcome is a violent holding pattern: talks continue, Iran and Israel keep testing each other, Hezbollah remains active, and the US tries to prevent the system from tipping into a wider campaign," Andreas Krieg, professor at the Department of Security at King's College London, concluded.

The Plight of Lebanon's Children Four-year-old Malaika was in her home in southern Lebanon's Mayfadoun when Israel's bombs began to hit on March 2. Her mother made an immediate attempt to flee, grabbing Malaika and her younger sister Sara, putting the latter in the back seat of her car, and Malaika in the front passenger seat. The mother sat in the driver's seat. Then a strike hit near the car. Malaika woke up in a hospital hours later, with burns on her forehead and damage to her left eye that hospital staff say will require surgery. Sara was also wounded, but not as badly as Malaika. However, their mother – who the family did not wish to name for privacy reasons – was killed in the strike. Almost 1,000 Children Wounded Israel intensified its war on Lebanon on March 2, launching attacks that came after Hezbollah had responded just hours earlier to the February 28 killing of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, ending more than a year of restraint despite daily Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon. Israel has since killed at least 3,613 people in Lebanon, including at least 245 children, according to the Lebanese Ministry of Health. "Children continue to bear a disproportionate burden of the conflict," Elissar Gemayel, response director for World Vision Lebanon, told Al Jazeera. Violations of International Law War disrupts children's routines, pulling them from the perceived safe spaces of their homes, their rooms, their gardens, and their schools. And even those who have not been physically injured have their routines disrupted and their sense of safety shattered, potentially leading to serious psychological effects. Marianne Abboud is the mental health and psychosocial support adviser for War Child, an international humanitarian organisation focused on the rights of children living with violence or armed conflict. Societal Impacts and Government Response Humanitarian workers who spoke to Al Jazeera praised the Lebanese government for taking the lead on the response to the humanitarian crisis, in contrast to previous crises. Still, with so many people and children displaced, they maintained that there were inevitably gaps. Part of that is the result of funding cuts. The United Nations appealed in March for $308.3m for humanitarian assistance, but has only been able to reach half of its target so far. Slow Healing It has now been three months since the attack that killed her mother and left her badly wounded, and Malaika sits in a playroom at the office of the Ghassan Abu Sittah Children's Fund (GASCF) in Beirut, where her surviving family has relocated. Wounds still mark Malaika's forehead and left cheek. Her father and uncle sit on a couch nearby as she uses a yellow crayon to colour an image of a duck.

The Lead: Trump's Asset Freeze StanceUnited States President Donald Trump has made it clear that he will not unfreeze billions of dollars in Iranian assets prior to reaching a lasting ceasefire agreement to formally end the US-Israel war with Iran. This statement, made during an interview on NBC's Meet the Press, indicates little room for compromise in the ongoing diplomatic standoff between the nations.The Event Details: Trump's Conditions for NegotiationIn the interview that aired on Sunday, Trump emphasized that any unfreezing of Iranian assets "comes after" a deal is reached. "If they behave, if they do a good job, we start talking," he stated. The US president has for weeks suggested that a breakthrough in the ceasefire talks was within reach, though there has been little sign of major shifts on key issues.Trump also revealed he would be willing to speak with Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father after Ali Khamenei was killed in US strikes early in the conflict. When asked about Khamenei's whereabouts, Trump said, "I don't want to say whether or not I know where he is, but there's a good probability that I do."The Data Analysis: Billions at Stake in Frozen AssetsIran is believed to have more than $100 billion frozen in bank accounts across the world due to sanctions by the US and other countries. Iranian state media has reported that Iran is now seeking between $12 billion and $24 billion in frozen funds as part of a ceasefire deal. Tehran is pushing for a plan that would see half of the funds released upon signing an agreement and the remaining half at a later stage.These frozen assets were meant to be gradually released under the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which saw Tehran curtail its nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief. Trump unilaterally withdrew from that agreement in 2018.The Impact Analysis: Regional Tensions and Trust DeficitThe announcement comes amid continued diplomatic tensions between the US and Iran. Iranian officials have repeatedly indicated that any deal could be contingent on the at least partial unfreezing of Tehran's frozen funds, citing widespread mistrust of US negotiations. This mistrust stems from the fact that the US twice launched military operations against Iran amid ongoing talks on its nuclear program.Israel's ongoing attacks against Hezbollah in Lebanon – strikes to which Iran objects – have continually threatened to derail negotiations. Trump clarified that he was "not demanding" that Lebanon be part of a ceasefire deal, though Iran's parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, warned on Sunday that Iran could retaliate in response to Israeli strikes on southern Beirut and the ongoing US naval blockade of Iranian ports.The Prediction: Deadlock or Breakthrough?While Trump has repeatedly suggested that a deal is imminent, Iranian officials present a different picture. Mohsen Rezaee, a military adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader, told CNN on Saturday that "negotiations are at a deadlock" and called on Trump to break the impasse. Trump's mixed approach of diplomacy and threats – stating "We're very close to a deal, or I'm going to blow the hell out of them" – reflects the delicate balance of power in these negotiations.With fighting largely paused since April 8, though both sides periodically exchanging strikes, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the US and Iran can overcome their differences and reach a ceasefire agreement that addresses both security concerns and economic realities.

The Lead: Iran's Defiance After 100 Days of ConflictTehran, Iran – Iranian authorities remain defiant 100 days into the war launched by the United States and Israel as no lasting resolution appears in sight, and civilians bear the brunt of a conflict that has roiled global markets.On the streets of the capital, Tehran, most shops are open, although not with as many customers as before. Traffic has been restored, but only partially, since millions of jobs have either been suspended or eliminated after nationwide protests, aerial bombardment and two state-imposed internet shutdowns over the past several months.Armoured vehicles, heavy weaponry and security forces continue to be common sights in the metropolis of about 10 million people at all hours of the day.At night, armed forces are setting up numerous checkpoints across the city, escorting motorcades of state supporters blasting religious slogans. Main squares and many streets are typically closed so that people can gather, often heard chanting slogans against the US and Israel.The Power Transition: Leadership in CrisisPro-government messaging and flags of the Lebanese group Hezbollah and other members of the Tehran-backed "axis of resistance" are widely featured in banners and billboards across Iran.Some vehicles and city murals bear images of Mojtaba Khamenei, who was selected as supreme leader by a clerical body after the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on the first day of the war.Mojtaba Khamenei, who was reportedly wounded in the same US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and other family members, has not been seen or heard from publicly since taking the helm, except for written messages attributed to him.The authorities have yet to hold funeral processions for Ali Khamenei, who ruled Iran for nearly 37 years. His family members were buried a week ago, and other top commanders and officials killed on February 28 were also buried months later.Economic Collapse: Hyperinflation and Currency CrisisYears-long economic woes have only worsened after oil and gas facilities, major steel and aluminium producers and industrial units were extensively bombed across the country. Trump has threatened more attacks against power plants and other civilian infrastructure if the war resumes. Many homes, hospitals, schools, offices and universities are in ruins or suffered damage.Inflation was running unchecked at nearly 84 percent year-on-year during the second month of the Persian calendar year that ended on May 21, according to the Statistical Center of Iran. Food inflation was at 130 percent for the same period, with solid vegetable oil up 431 percent, eggs 342 percent, chicken 287 percent and imported rice by 222 percent compared to the same month of the previous year.Iran's national currency, the rial, is also in the doldrums. On Sunday, it traded at about 1.77 million per US dollar in Tehran's open market – near an all-time low.The stock market has been rising after a controlled reopening last month, which experts told Al Jazeera was predominantly due to inflation, and the side effects of returning after nearly three months of total shutdown. After deals were concluded for Sunday in the Tehran Stock Exchange, the main index was on the verge of retaking the all-time high threshold of 4.5 million points first reached at the start of 2026.Geopolitical Chess: Control of Strategic WaterwaysThe institutions of the Islamic Republic survived and remain in power, as do many officials, including leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), who have continued to heavily disrupt the flow of energy and goods through the Strait of Hormuz while fighting off the US blockade of Iran's ports.After roughly 40 days of intense war and thousands of strikes, followed by months of tense "ceasefire" that has now included overnight exchanges of fire for more than a week, an interim deal to reopen the strategic waterway has not materialised. Any longer-term peace deal seems further out of reach.On Sunday, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Tehran hosted Pakistan's interior minister, the mediating country which itself was hosting an envoy from Lebanon, in an attempt to bridge gaps over Hezbollah and other issues with the US.In an editorial on Sunday marking the 100-day milestone, the hardline Keyhan newspaper, whose editor-in-chief was appointed by Ali Khamenei, said the experience has taught the system that "America retreated because of missiles, not negotiations"."Disrupt [Donald] Trump's game by halting negotiations and closing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait," Keyhan wrote about the strategic waterway off the coast of Yemen, arguing that the US president is using the talks to keep global oil prices under control.Military Resilience: Iran's Defense CapabilitiesArmed forces have demonstrated that despite the widescale bombing of Iran's military installations, including facilities dug deep into mountains, they retain the ability to fire ballistic and cruise missiles, as well as a variety of drones. They have also continued to shoot down a number of US drones, even though numerous air defense batteries were destroyed during the war.Most Iranian military aircraft and large vessels have also been destroyed, but the IRGC continues to deploy its fast boats and small vessels to advance objectives in the strait.Iranian authorities say they wish to entrench control over the strait and monetise passage, keep highly enriched uranium – now likely buried under the rubble of bombed facilities – inside the country to prevent future attacks, and secure relief from decades of sanctions and asset freezes that have battered the economy.Society Under Siege: Daily Life and RepressionConcerns about assassination and intelligence leaks remain high, keeping the parliament closed, except for a handful of limited or online sessions. Universities and schools have also remained shut, and many deferred exams are expected to be held online. A number of police forces are working from desks set up in the streets after their stations were bombed.The internet has been partially restored after the longest nationwide shutdown in any country, but remains heavily throttled by the authorities, who clamp down on Starlink or other connections that circumnavigate their filtering.The judiciary continues to announce near-daily executions of dissidents, including people arrested during the current war, during the nationwide protests in January and the 12-day war with Israel and the US almost a year ago. Tens of thousands have been arrested over recent months, and many will face intensified punishments based on a law approved after last year's war to punish charges of spying and working for hostile governments.Future Outlook: A Prolonged Conflict with Global ImplicationsAs Iran enters the fourth month of conflict with the United States and Israel, the path to resolution remains unclear. With both sides maintaining hardline positions and the economic situation deteriorating rapidly for ordinary Iranians, the conflict shows no signs of de-escalation.The control of strategic waterways like the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb will likely continue to be a focal point, with potential global repercussions for energy markets and shipping routes.International mediation efforts, including those by Pakistan and other regional actors, may intensify as the humanitarian and economic costs mount, but the fundamental disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, regional influence, and the future of the Islamic Republic's leadership structure remain deeply entrenched.

Saturday marks the 100‑day milestone of the war that the United States and Israel began against Iran, yet the conflict has become a political liability for President Donald Trump and the Republican Party as public opposition deepens. The 100‑Day Milestone of the US‑Israel Iran War The campaign started on February 28 with air strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and dozens of officials, followed by Iranian missile and drone retaliation and a shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. A truce was announced on April 6, but skirmishes and a naval blockade persist, keeping the war in a “no war, no peace” limbo. Polling Numbers Reveal Deepening Domestic Opposition Only 16 % of U.S. voters believe the United States is winning or has won the war (University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll). A majority—58 %—disapprove of Trump's handling of the conflict (Institute for Global Affairs poll). Only 24 % say the war makes the United States safer. 33 % of Republicans view the war’s impact as more negative than positive, versus 12 % who see it as more positive. 79 % of respondents say the war has affected the cost of living in the United States. Political Fallout for Trump Ahead of the Midterms The erosion of public support is translating into electoral risk. Democrats are targeting control of Congress in the November midterms, a shift that could block Trump's agenda and expose him to impeachment threats if the war’s economic fallout worsens. Analysts note that the war has moved from a foreign‑policy issue to a “pocket‑book” concern, directly influencing voter sentiment on inflation and energy prices. What the Next Weeks Could Mean for Trump and the GOP If the war continues without a diplomatic breakthrough, the Republican Party may face a “turning point” as even older, traditionally hawkish voters grow restless. Trump has downplayed domestic concerns, claiming he “doesn’t care about the midterms,” but political strategists warn that sustained economic pain from higher oil prices could swing swing‑state voters toward Democrats. Conversely, a rapid de‑escalation or a perceived victory could restore some of the president’s waning credibility before voters head to the polls.

The LeadAs the US-Israel war on Iran entered its 96th day, the conflict widened across the Gulf region, with both sides reporting new military actions. The United States military said it carried out "self-defence" strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island, while Iranian media reported explosions in the area.Gulf Region Becomes New BattlegroundThe escalation spilled into neighbouring countries, with Kuwait saying its air defence systems had intercepted incoming drones and missiles, and Bahrain activating warning sirens. The US Central Command (CENTCOM) also said it had intercepted multiple Iranian missiles and drones, while Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed it had targeted US military assets in the region in response to US strikes.Iran's Military ResponseCiting the IRGC, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported the latest exchange began when US forces struck an Iranian oil tanker near the Strait of Hormuz, damaging its engine room. The IRGC said it responded by targeting a US-Israeli vessel with naval missiles before US forces struck an IRGC communications tower south of Qeshm Island.Iran's leadership has not ruled out a deal with the US, but deep mistrust and hardened positions from both sides continue to complicate negotiations. While military, religious and political leaders insist there will be no "surrender" to Washington, subtle differences remain in how key figures view a potential agreement.Diplomatic Efforts Amidst MistrustSecretary of State Marco Rubio told Congress that Iran's supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is alive and becoming "increasingly engaged" in negotiations with Washington. Khamenei has not appeared publicly since reportedly being wounded in US-Israeli strikes that killed his predecessor and father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Rubio said Washington has not offered sanctions relief in exchange for opening the Strait of Hormuz. The US will provide sanctions relief to Iran only in exchange for nuclear concessions, he said during a Senate hearing.US President Donald Trump said negotiations with Iran have been continuing, but cautioned that their outcome remains unclear. "One never knows" where the talks may lead, he said, reiterating his call for Tehran to reach a deal.Iran's chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said Tehran could abandon negotiations with the US and move towards confrontation if Israeli attacks on Lebanon continue. The warning came during a conversation with Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri.Economic and Strategic ImplicationsAnalyst Alan Eyre said any agreement will likely need to deliver tangible benefits for both Washington and Tehran. Trump faces pressure to secure meaningful nuclear concessions to counter criticism that a deal would merely restore the status quo before the war, while Iran needs economic relief through measures such as access to frozen assets or new revenue mechanisms. Eyre noted that although the US blockade is damaging Iran's economy over time, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is creating more immediate and urgent pressure on global markets.US Military Operations in the GulfCENTCOM said an "additional wave of Iranian drones" attempted to target US forces in Kuwait, but the attack was unsuccessful. It said US air defences intercepted multiple drones and that no Americans or assets were harmed. CENTCOM said earlier on Wednesday that it had struck an Iranian ground control station on Qeshm Island in what it described as a "self-defence" operation.CENTCOM dismissed IRGC claims that Iranian missiles and drones had struck the headquarters of the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and a regional US airbase, saying the attacks failed to reach their targets. In a statement on X, it called the claims false and said all Iranian attacks against US forces had been unsuccessful. "US forces remain vigilant and ready to defend against unwarranted Iranian aggression," it added.Criticism of Trump's Iran PolicyDemocratic senators sharply criticised the Trump administration's handling of the war. Senator Chris Van Hollen called its foreign policy a "dumpster fire" and described the conflict as "stupid and reckless". Senator Cory Booker argued that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz had handed Tehran new leverage, saying the war had caused widespread economic disruption and "never should have happened".Israel's Northern Border StrategyPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his government is pursuing "massive plans" to strengthen northern Israel and address what he called the "drone problem" along the border with Lebanon. Speaking at a government meeting, he said fortification measures extending up to 7km (4.3 miles) from the border would support Israel's campaign against Hezbollah. Netanyahu added that the government is investing $20bn to improve security and economic development in the region.Reporting from Nablus, Al Jazeera's Nida Ibrahim said criticism of Netanyahu is mounting across Israel's political spectrum, with opponents and some coalition allies accusing him of putting his political survival before broader strategic goals against Hezbollah. Ibrahim said many analysts believe Netanyahu sought to expand military operations in Beirut partly to derail US-Iran talks and that pressure from Washington may have forced him to step back, fuelling further frustration among his critics.Escalation in Lebanon and GazaAt least five people, including a child, were killed and 45 others wounded in Israeli attacks on the southern Lebanese towns of Burj Shemali, Ebba and Tibnin, according to Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health.